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    Economics / auto industry, consumer confidence, consumer sentiment, GDP, Goldman Sachs, recovery, regulation, stimulus /

    Consumer Downer

    October 30, 2009

    All of my warnings about the medium term outlook seem to be confirmed by today’s consumer sentiment survey results from the University of Michigan. This is the third, and most frequent, of the surveys that attempt to measure consumer confidence. The data released this morning suggests a modest uptick from early October – the index […]

    Economics / auto industry, consumption, GDP, inventories, Investment, jobs, recovery, stimulus, trade deficit, unemployment /

    Growth At Last

    October 29, 2009

    Not that anyone is truly surprised, given the discussions of the past few weeks, but today’s news that the economy grew by 3.5%, at annual rates, during the third quarter is welcome nonetheless. It breaks a string of four consecutive quarters of decline – five of the last six quarters saw a decline – and […]

    Economics / bank capital, bank liquidity, bank regulation, banking, bankruptcy, bonuses, creditors /

    Too Big To Fail

    October 28, 2009

    Of all the issues facing the economy one stands out as having potential to throw the economy back into crisis. Yes, the lack of consumption may make us fall into a second recession, but that is not a crisis – we know how to deal with it. No, the lack of long term safety and […]

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