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    Economics / consumption, deflation, Federal Reserve Board, fiscal policy, GDP, imports, inflation, inventories, jobs, monetary policy, recession /

    GDP: Crawl, But No Stop

    August 27, 2010

    Today’s much hyped release of the revised GDP figures for the second quarter delivered as promised: the economy is moving at a snails pace, but it hasn’t yet stopped. The revision shows growth of a paltry 1.6%, which is down both from the original estimate of 2.4%, and the now final number for the first […]

    Economics / GDP, jobs, recession, recovery, stimulus, unemployment /

    The Stimulus Worked

    August 24, 2010

    Why are we even talking about this? Of course it worked. The problem was always that it was too small, not that it might not work. Still don’t take my word for it. Go read the Congressional Budget Office report for yourselves: CBO Report On The Stimulus Now there will always be naysayers. Folks who […]

    Economics / deficits, GDP, home prices, interest rates, Investment, real estate, recovery, risk, risk management, systemic risk /

    Response to Carl: Part 2

    August 24, 2010

    It occurs to me that I evaded some of the more obvious things to say about investment opportunities at the moment. Allow me to correct that oversight now. One of the big problems with being an investor right now is that expectations are wildly distorted. By this I mean investors are expecting yields that simply […]

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