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    Economics /

    Political Economics

    October 17, 2012

    Like everything in America the economics profession is deeply politicized. The chasm that divides the two sides of the cultural war is mirrored exactly by two sides equally entrenched in economics. This means that nothing an economist says can be taken at face value. The entire profession is now bogged down, failing to move forward, […]

    Economics / economic policy, fiscal cliff, GDP, growth, home prices, housing permits, housing starts, manufacturing, real estate /

    Production and Construction Pick Up

    October 17, 2012

    The last couple of days have brought us more news to support the notion of a solid, if unspectacular, recovery being well underway. Both industrial production and, more particularly, new home construction support a slightly optimistic outlook by growing more rapidly than forecast. So they’re worth noting. Yesterday we learned that industrial production which had […]

    Economics / consumer confidence, consumption, GDP, growth, retail sales /

    Retail Sales Jump

    October 15, 2012

    One of our recent themes has been the underlying improvement in consumer confidence that has yet to manifest itself strongly in any of the headline numbers. There seems to have been a definitive change at the household level. Whether it has the strength to make a significant difference throughout the economy is yet to be […]

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